Trying to put tonight’s omnishambles to one side and look at the run in rationally.
We have ten left to play.
We currently have a three point lead over 2nd, and a seven point lead over 3rd. Better goal difference than both (at the time of writing).
Assume we lose to Cardiff - the gap is gone, hopefully goal difference would keep us clear. That’s effectively our one free hit gone.
Someone helpfully pointed out previously we have an atrocious record away at Boro. We’ll assume nothing gets better there.
But, other than Derby, the remaining fixtures on paper look promising. Villa still have to play Cardiff too.
If we can avoid any nasty surprises beyond the Cardiff, Derby and Boro games, I would hope we’ll make it over the line. I’ll admit that’s ignoring our current stuttering form but is there any reason to think we wouldn’t be favourites in the other seven?
We have ten left to play.
We currently have a three point lead over 2nd, and a seven point lead over 3rd. Better goal difference than both (at the time of writing).
Assume we lose to Cardiff - the gap is gone, hopefully goal difference would keep us clear. That’s effectively our one free hit gone.
Someone helpfully pointed out previously we have an atrocious record away at Boro. We’ll assume nothing gets better there.
But, other than Derby, the remaining fixtures on paper look promising. Villa still have to play Cardiff too.
If we can avoid any nasty surprises beyond the Cardiff, Derby and Boro games, I would hope we’ll make it over the line. I’ll admit that’s ignoring our current stuttering form but is there any reason to think we wouldn’t be favourites in the other seven?