marrs-guitar
Just doesn't shut up
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I've run a similar thread in the last two seasons (see 2019/20 and 2020/21), and have decided to track this season's results in this fashion once again.
While the league table is taking shape at 8 games in, the impact of the "luck" of the fixture computer is still too significant to use the real league table as the sole basis for a team's performance to date.
To combat this, this thread looks at how teams are performing in comparison to their results in the exact same fixtures last season. It also provides a rough guide to the points tallies that may be required to achieve different positions in the final table.
Wolves' comparative performance to date (after 8 games):
2 points up on last season (12 pts vs 10 pts from the same fixtures last season)
Comparative results table:
Manchester City (77 pts needed for title)
Liverpool
Chelsea
Tottenham (69 pts needed to guarantee CL)
Manchester Utd
West Ham
Everton
Leicester
Arsenal
Leeds
Brighton
Aston Villa
Southampton
Wolves (14th on 47 pts, i.e. the 45 point tally of last season minus the 2 points we are up to date)
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Burnley (33 pts needed for safety)
Brentford
Watford
Norwich
(Note: the 3 promoted clubs' performance has been compared with the equivalent fixtures of the 3 relegated clubs; for this purpose, I compared like-for-like i.e. the "strongest" relegated side (Fulham; 18th place) are used for the "strongest promoted side (Norwich, 1st place) and so on).
Comments:
Brighton are the most improved side to date and have gained 10 more points from their 8 games compared to last season. Brentford are the next best performer in comparative terms (9 pts up on their comparative tally).
At the other end of the scale, Leeds are performing worst in the comparative stakes of the teams which were in the division last season (7 points worse off). Norwich are already 8 points down on the points return of the eventually relegated Fulham,
Wolves have managed to improve their comparative points tally by 2 points, thereby averaging an extra 0.25 points per fixture to date... a trend, which if you applied across the remaining fixtures, would mean Wolves would finish 10th.
While the league table is taking shape at 8 games in, the impact of the "luck" of the fixture computer is still too significant to use the real league table as the sole basis for a team's performance to date.
To combat this, this thread looks at how teams are performing in comparison to their results in the exact same fixtures last season. It also provides a rough guide to the points tallies that may be required to achieve different positions in the final table.
Wolves' comparative performance to date (after 8 games):
2 points up on last season (12 pts vs 10 pts from the same fixtures last season)
Comparative results table:
Manchester City (77 pts needed for title)
Liverpool
Chelsea
Tottenham (69 pts needed to guarantee CL)
Manchester Utd
West Ham
Everton
Leicester
Arsenal
Leeds
Brighton
Aston Villa
Southampton
Wolves (14th on 47 pts, i.e. the 45 point tally of last season minus the 2 points we are up to date)
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Burnley (33 pts needed for safety)
Brentford
Watford
Norwich
(Note: the 3 promoted clubs' performance has been compared with the equivalent fixtures of the 3 relegated clubs; for this purpose, I compared like-for-like i.e. the "strongest" relegated side (Fulham; 18th place) are used for the "strongest promoted side (Norwich, 1st place) and so on).
Comments:
Brighton are the most improved side to date and have gained 10 more points from their 8 games compared to last season. Brentford are the next best performer in comparative terms (9 pts up on their comparative tally).
At the other end of the scale, Leeds are performing worst in the comparative stakes of the teams which were in the division last season (7 points worse off). Norwich are already 8 points down on the points return of the eventually relegated Fulham,
Wolves have managed to improve their comparative points tally by 2 points, thereby averaging an extra 0.25 points per fixture to date... a trend, which if you applied across the remaining fixtures, would mean Wolves would finish 10th.
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