marrs-guitar
Just doesn't shut up
- Joined
- Aug 22, 2005
- Messages
- 5,564
- Reaction score
- 7,308
I ran a similar thread last season so, amid the boredom of the international break, decided to revive the concept this year too.
While the league table is taking shape at 8 games in, the impact of the "luck" of the fixture computer is still too significant to use the real league table as the sole basis for a team's performance to date.
To combat this, this thread looks at how teams are performing in comparison to their results in the exact same fixtures last season. It also provides a rough guide to the points tallies that may be required to achieve different positions in the final table.
Wolves' comparative performance to date (after 8 games):
4 points down on last season (13 pts vs 17 pts from the same fixtures last season)
Comparative results table:
Liverpool (76 pts needed for title)
Manchester City
Chelsea
Leicester (66 pts needed for CL)
Manchester Utd
Tottenham
Arsenal
Wolves (8th on 55 pts, i.e. the 59 point tally of last season minus the 4 points we are down to date)
Southampton
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Aston Villa
Sheffield Utd
Brighton
Newcastle (38 points needed for safety)
Leeds
West Brom
Fulham
(Note: the 3 promoted clubs' performance has been compared with the equivalent fixtures of the 3 relegated clubs; for this purpose, I compared like-for-like i.e. the "strongest" relegated side (Bournemouth; 18th place) are used for the "strongest promoted side (Leeds, 1st place) and so on).
Comments:
On average, Aston Villa are the most improved side to date (earning ave. 1.375 more points per fixture), equalling 11 more points in total to date, while Sheffield United are the worst comparatively and are mirroring Villa's performance in a negative sense (i.e. ave. 1.375 point less per fixture).
The Blades are one of just three teams who have fared worse in the comparative stakes to date than Wolves (Burnley and Man City being the others). Wolves' lost 4 points, averages at 0.5 points less per fixture... a trend, which if you applied this trend across the remaining fixtures, would mean Wolves would finish 14th.
While the league table is taking shape at 8 games in, the impact of the "luck" of the fixture computer is still too significant to use the real league table as the sole basis for a team's performance to date.
To combat this, this thread looks at how teams are performing in comparison to their results in the exact same fixtures last season. It also provides a rough guide to the points tallies that may be required to achieve different positions in the final table.
Wolves' comparative performance to date (after 8 games):
4 points down on last season (13 pts vs 17 pts from the same fixtures last season)
Comparative results table:
Liverpool (76 pts needed for title)
Manchester City
Chelsea
Leicester (66 pts needed for CL)
Manchester Utd
Tottenham
Arsenal
Wolves (8th on 55 pts, i.e. the 59 point tally of last season minus the 4 points we are down to date)
Southampton
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Aston Villa
Sheffield Utd
Brighton
Newcastle (38 points needed for safety)
Leeds
West Brom
Fulham
(Note: the 3 promoted clubs' performance has been compared with the equivalent fixtures of the 3 relegated clubs; for this purpose, I compared like-for-like i.e. the "strongest" relegated side (Bournemouth; 18th place) are used for the "strongest promoted side (Leeds, 1st place) and so on).
Comments:
On average, Aston Villa are the most improved side to date (earning ave. 1.375 more points per fixture), equalling 11 more points in total to date, while Sheffield United are the worst comparatively and are mirroring Villa's performance in a negative sense (i.e. ave. 1.375 point less per fixture).
The Blades are one of just three teams who have fared worse in the comparative stakes to date than Wolves (Burnley and Man City being the others). Wolves' lost 4 points, averages at 0.5 points less per fixture... a trend, which if you applied this trend across the remaining fixtures, would mean Wolves would finish 14th.