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A simple case of Mathematics

Timberwolf

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This is simply a thread based on a post by Freezin in the 'Steve Bruce: Would he still come' thread

''Im afraid we'll start next season in the championship with £25 - 30million from the sales of

Doyle
Jarvis
Fletcher
Hennessey
Johnson
Zubar

And if Mick turns up at another job i can see him in for

Ward
Henry
Foley

And depending who comes in we might also see shipped out;

Elokobi
Hammill''

Assume for one moment that we stay up;
Player wages would increase due to Premier League retention and bonuses. We all agree most of our players are quite average so there will also be the pressing need to invest another 10-15 million in better players, just to tread water. Thus also increasing our wage commitments further. Should this happen, then next season could actually see Wolves busting a vein to the tune of £20,000,000 debt.

If we go down.
We lose the TV rights but retain the parachute payment. The biggest shortfall facing any relegated club comes from the loss of television revenue. The bottom club in the Premier League can expect to earn around £40m in United Kingdom and overseas broadcast income. In the Championship, the figure is around £3m. The Premier League soften the blow by giving parachute payments to relegated teams for the four seasons following their relegation. For the first two years, the payment is £16m per year; for years three and four it drops to £8m per year. So for the first season following relegation, teams will lose round £21m in television revenue in the first season after relegation.
As Freezin points out we'd sell Jarvis, Hennessey, Doyle, Fletcher, O'Hara and if we can Rog'. A conservative accumulative total of £30 million plus wage savings so the 21 million loss would be off-set with circa 10 million in the transfer pot.

I know this isn't exactly scientific but financially, it may make sense to take the drop and start again. The issue is, would we bounce back within two years before the PP drops to £8 mill per year? Depends on who is in charge. And thats why I think M&M have taken the decision to hold off appointing a manager until the summer. In the Championship, all the talented and young managers will want the hot-seat at Molineux and it would be the perfect environment to start playing the attractive football that we all want to see.

Just a thought anyway!
 

northnorfolkwolf

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If we go down several young and hungry managers may well be interested in us - Malky Mackay and Poyet being the 2 most obvious imo.
 
H

Hawkins discuss

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quote..."As Freezin points out we'd sell Jarvis, Hennessey, Doyle, Fletcher, O'Hara and if we can Rog'. A conservative accumulative total of £30 million plus wage savings"


Bit optimistic on those figures methinks £15m tops
 

Tring Wolf

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Would absolutely love Mackay here NNW. Unfortunately, he signed a new 5-year deal with Cardiff during the 13-day debacle which was our manager search. Can't imagine we would pay the compensation even he did want to come.
 

Timberwolf

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quote..."As Freezin points out we'd sell Jarvis, Hennessey, Doyle, Fletcher, O'Hara and if we can Rog'. A conservative accumulative total of £30 million plus wage savings"


Bit optimistic on those figures methinks £15m tops

2.5 million each????? Really???
 
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quote..."As Freezin points out we'd sell Jarvis, Hennessey, Doyle, Fletcher, O'Hara and if we can Rog'. A conservative accumulative total of £30 million plus wage savings"


Bit optimistic on those figures methinks £15m tops

Jarvis deserved his England call up when he got it and often reaches a decent level of performance. 5-10mill
Hennessey saves our bacon on multiple occasions. 5-10mill
Doyle, we'll lose money on I think. 4/5mill
Fletcher has one of the best chance conversion rates in the league and is way way way too good for us. 10mill+
O'Hara. Flatters to deceive. 3-5mill
Johnson. Similar to O'Hara.

The one good point of our current situation is we won't be held to ransom financially, if players go we'll set semi-decent fees for them.

RE the thread topic, it'd make sense if you could guarantee promotion again, trim the deadwood and go back up with some seasoned Prem players in your ranks already - but as we well know guaranteed promotion does not exist.
 

Purple Ronnie

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Doubt O'Hara and Johnson will go. They will hardly be queuing up to buy them!
 
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