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  #1  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:34
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The magic number

What will be the number of points we need to stop up? Last year it was 41, the year before it was 43. We're now on 39, so two wins would probably see us safe.

Games suddenly look winnable again. We could easily take 3 points from Bristol or Huddersfield at home, or Bolton and Blues away.

The odd draw here and there. Wim gonna be fine!
  #2  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:37
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We'll need more than 4 points from the next 10 games anyway - that'd take us to 43 which is clearly too low. 46 points would see you go down IMO. 2 wins, 2 draws required.
  #3  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:38
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Every team in the relegation zone is averaging a point a game at least so I think we'll need 46 points +
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Old 05-03-2013, 22:39
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I'd fancy us at home against Boro too, awful on the road. Although most of our points will probably come away from fortress molineux
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Old 05-03-2013, 22:41
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Hard to predict what the total needed will be when every side down there seems capable of winning some games.
  #6  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:44
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Who finished in the bottom 3 last year and who survived? I can't remember, was too busy trying to ignore football after TC took charge. I'd say it'll be a bit higher prob 45 (?)because all the teams down are so close and can see that a few more wins will see them safe and are beating better teams. Plus, bristol, ipswich, have improved with new managers after bad starts.
Going on form we're still faves for the drop but who knows! Bristol at home is now massive!
  #7  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:44
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I'd say 50 is the magic number. Just to be safe.
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Maybe we should start a huge round of applauds in the 3rd and 50th minutes.

3rd minute for the average number of shots on goal we had in 90 minutes under him.
50th representing the percentage defeats to games under his masterful stewardship.
  #8  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:45
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Home:

Bristol C - 3
Boro - 1
Huddersfield - 1
Hull - 0
Burnley - 1

Away:

Blues - 1
Bolton - 0
Charlton - 1
Brighton - 0

Even being conservative, that's gives us 48. Surely enough.
  #9  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:45
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  #10  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peszkywolf View Post
Who finished in the bottom 3 last year and who survived? I can't remember, was too busy trying to ignore football after TC took charge. I'd say it'll be a bit higher prob 45 (?)because all the teams down are so close and can see that a few more wins will see them safe and are beating better teams. Plus, bristol, ipswich, have improved with new managers after bad starts.
Going on form we're still faves for the drop but who knows! Bristol at home is now massive!
http://www.statto.com/football/stats...011-2012/table
  #11  
Old 05-03-2013, 22:48
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Sir red nose junior says the magic number is 51 - but as half the division are jammed between 36 and 45 points it could be higher if the bottom teams continue their improvement.
  #12  
Old 05-03-2013, 23:07
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We're only 6 wins off the play-offs
























  #13  
Old 05-03-2013, 23:09
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We will beat Birmingham, Huddersfield, and Bristol City. The rest are all winnable also
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  #14  
Old 05-03-2013, 23:14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bostin View Post
Cheers Bostin.
So Donny and Cov were awful, leaving 1 more relegation spot for Pompeii who were docked 10 points. So without the admin points deduction Barnsley would have gone down on 48 points, with Bristol, Forest and Peterborough just surviving on 49/50 points!
  #15  
Old 06-03-2013, 01:31
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I did some research on this - see here.

We need at least 50 points IMO so four more wins or three wins and 2 draws.
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Last edited by Vietnam Wolf; 06-03-2013 at 01:33..
  #16  
Old 06-03-2013, 06:11
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48 at the very least.
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  #17  
Old 06-03-2013, 06:14
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Barnsley are currently just below the line and have 38 with 11 games left. If we give them a point a game thats 49. But with the form of the bottom teams at the moment i think we could be looking at a real high figure for safety - 52-53?
  #18  
Old 06-03-2013, 06:36
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Sheff Wed, Barnsley and Posh all have a game in hand on us, this may well be the deciding factor.

Despite last nights win I can't see us staying up we've simply left it too late.
  #19  
Old 06-03-2013, 07:09
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wednesbury Wolf View Post
Sheff Wed, Barnsley and Posh all have a game in hand on us, this may well be the deciding factor.

Despite last nights win I can't see us staying up we've simply left it too late.
Disagree

Just had three tough games. Top two teams and millwall away

Unbeaten in two with 'easier' games to come

Feeling better today
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  #20  
Old 06-03-2013, 07:16
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Agree with Vietnam after looking at his stats and the current form of those around us.

50 is the magic number.
  #21  
Old 06-03-2013, 08:16
FLEET WOLF FLEET WOLF is offline
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One more than the team that finishes third from bottom will do me, or even the same number of points, because our goal difference is significantly better than those below us and above us (and that, as ever, could be an important factor).
  #22  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:01
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It is very true that in the Championship, every team can beat another team. I think also, it is particularly true in this league, that mid-table teams, going nowhere, drop off, significantly in form-and especially those who, despite a decent run for the play offs, have tailed off. I also anticipate that at least one of the teams in the bottom 5 or so will have a shocking run towards the end of the season, so actually I don't expect the survival points total to be quite as high as others have indicated on here, but, it is all quesswork, to a degree. Two more wins very quickly, with other results going our way, and things will look much better. There are some teams in a group above us who must be starting to worry about teams at the bottom improving.
  #23  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:03
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We're 3 points off of the bottom of the table, but 6 points from climbing up to 12th place. This league is utterly insane.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Adrian_Monk View Post
Maybe we should start a huge round of applauds in the 3rd and 50th minutes.

3rd minute for the average number of shots on goal we had in 90 minutes under him.
50th representing the percentage defeats to games under his masterful stewardship.
  #24  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:14
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i'd say at least 50 but to be really safe 51/52. Little run and you'd end up mid table!!
  #25  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:20
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Am with Vietnam Wolf on this - I think we'll need 50 or so to stay up. Everyone around us is winning.
  #26  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:34
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I think 3 wins and a smattering of draws. We've seen the teams around us can be quite handy. There are no real hackers there.
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  #27  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:36
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We have some handy games coming up against teams around us - Birmingham, Huddersfield, Bristol City to name but three. If we win those we'll be fine, I'd take a draw against Forest.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Adrian_Monk View Post
Maybe we should start a huge round of applauds in the 3rd and 50th minutes.

3rd minute for the average number of shots on goal we had in 90 minutes under him.
50th representing the percentage defeats to games under his masterful stewardship.
  #28  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:39
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Titch View Post
Agree with Vietnam after looking at his stats and the current form of those around us.

50 is the magic number.
Around here.... I can see some of the teams above us being sucked in and they only need a couple of wins and a couple of draws to hit 50...may go even higher
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  #29  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:41
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or

http://www.statto.com/football/stats...007-2008/table
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  #30  
Old 06-03-2013, 09:57
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If we win all of our remaining games can we still get into the playoffs?
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