The magic number

[Essex Wolf]

Of the remaining games Hull looks the toughest and even they seem to be having a wobble so all are winnable but then so have been many of the games Wolves have been awful in and lost.

Win another 4 games and I think we'll be okay though.

[OLDGOLD]

Originally Posted by Poole Wolf

or

http://www.statto.com/football/stats...007-2008/table

You would be gutted by that 52 points and a goal difference of -3....

[FLEET WOLF]

Originally Posted by Poole Wolf

or

http://www.statto.com/football/stats...007-2008/table

Thanks, if you look at seasons before and after that, 43 or 47 points would have been enough. As per my earlier e mail, goal difference could be key. I think that 3 more wins and we have probably nailed it!

[Essex Wolf]

According to Millwall manager Jackett he says they need 53 points to remain in the championship. If that's the benchmark Wolves need another 14 points from a possible 33. Assuming nothing but but 4 wins and 2 draws from the remaining games is certainly achieveable.

[Vietnam Wolf]

Originally Posted by Essex Wolf

According to Millwall manager Jackett he says they need 53 points to remain in the championship. If that's the benchmark Wolves need another 14 points from a possible 33. Assuming nothing but but 4 wins and 2 draws from the remaining games is certainly achieveable.

Maybe Jackett has been reading my analysis on Mol Mix

Based on season form to date 4 wins and 2 draws would be significantly overachieving the form showed over the season to date. I would say its only feasible if we get a result at Forest and confidence / team spirit bolsters further.

If not we're back to less than a point a game if we're not careful.

[FLEET WOLF]

Originally Posted by Essex Wolf

According to Millwall manager Jackett he says they need 53 points to remain in the championship. If that's the benchmark Wolves need another 14 points from a possible 33. Assuming nothing but but 4 wins and 2 draws from the remaining games is certainly achieveable.

I think all managers over egg it, presumably to gee up their teams and stop them resting on their laurels. Jackett is probably furious at the $$$$e his team served up last night and thinks that the Cup has totally distracted them from the main job in hand.

[luckyjim]

In my opinion, this season will break the record that Leicester achieved so I think we need a minimum of 55 points. When leicester went down on 52 points in 07/08 , after 36 games, Sheff Wed occupied 22nd place on 36 points. This season at the same stage, in 22nd, Barnsley have 38 points.

I genuinely think 1 or more teams above us will get dragged into it, especially as Leicester were 19th after 36 games in 07/08.

[spittlep]

Pl W D L +/- Pts
1 Southampton 36 20 9 7 32 69
2 Reading 36 20 7 9 18 67
.................................................. ........................
3 West Ham United 35 19 9 7 21 66
4 Middlesbrough 35 16 11 8 6 59
5 Brighton and Hove Albion 36 16 10 10 8 58
6 Hull City 35 16 9 10 9 57
.................................................. ........................
7 Cardiff City 36 15 12 9 7 57
8 Birmingham City 35 15 11 9 19 56
9 Blackpool 36 15 11 10 10 56
10 Leeds United 36 15 8 13 5 53
11 Leicester City 36 14 9 13 7 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 12 13 10 4 49
13 Derby County 36 14 7 15 -8 49
14 Burnley 35 14 6 15 4 48
15 Watford 36 12 11 13 -12 47
16 Ipswich Town 35 13 6 16 -7 45
17 Barnsley 36 12 7 17 -11 43
18 Peterborough United 35 11 8 16 -3 41
19 Millwall 36 9 10 17 -11 37
20 Nottingham Forest 36 10 5 21 -22 35
21 Bristol City 36 9 7 20 -27 34
.................................................. .............................
22 Doncaster Rovers 35 7 10 18 -24 31
23 Coventry City 36 7 9 20 -19 30
24 Portsmouth 35 9 9 17 -6 26

Table above shows teams from last season at the same stage as we are now.(played35/36 games)

Doncaster went on to gain 5 more points and finish bottom
Coventry got 10 more points and finished 23rd
Portsmouth made 14 more points and finished 22nd 8 points adrift.

I think all the teams below us are capable of picking up points as can be seen in recent results, so I would think at least 14 points to be safe

[Tring Wolf]

Is a huge group of teams on 42/43 points. Assuming they keep up their record of points per game, they will end up on around 54/55 points. If one of Peterborough or Barnsley keep up their recent form, they will end up on a similar total.

So I reckon we will need 15 points from our last 10 games to be absolutely safe. Last night was a hugely welcome boost but there is still a really long way to go before safety.

[Stratford Wolf]

Another away victory at Forrest then home win against Bristol C it could all look so much better .......

[Vietnam Wolf]

Originally Posted by Tring Wolf

Is a huge group of teams on 42/43 points. Assuming they keep up their record of points per game, they will end up on around 54/55 points. If one of Peterborough or Barnsley keep up their recent form, they will end up on a similar total.

So I reckon we will need 15 points from our last 10 games to be absolutely safe. Last night was a hugely welcome boost but there is still a really long way to go before safety.

Luckily there's no way all teams on 42/43 will keep up their record. Some will be due a bad run just like the one we hope we're getting to the end of. Also I can't see Posh, Barnsley continuing their current play off form, they haven't been down there all season for nothing.

So maybe 15 points would be over comfortable ? Just as well because there's no way on earth we'll get 5 wins or 4 wins and 3 draws out of 10 games.

[Paul76]

I think we need at least another 10 points. I think Posh will get out of it. It's going to be interesting. There will definitely be other teams being dragged into the mix.

[wolvesfcneil]

four wins and a couple of draws should do it and with some of the teams we still have to play i don't see any reason why we can't finish 10th 11th or 12th

[Peszkywolf]

Think Millwall will go down, on a bad run, lost their 2 goalscorers, lost at home to a team with low confidence (us).
Saying that I can see us being 2nd bottom this time next week with the other games not going our way. Then we really need to beat Brizzle City next weekend. Brum away? Boro at home? Huddersfield at home? Hull not so brill on the road...Burnley with nothing to play for? All winnable games.
10th or 11th? Obviously with 30 pts left it's possible but bloody hell have a word!